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Maximizing Your Fantasy Premier League Strategy: Analyzing Player Value

Updated: Oct 22

When it comes to Fantasy Premier League (FPL), selecting the right players is key to outperforming your competition. While player selection often relies on gut feeling and popular picks, a more strategic approach involves analyzing player value in terms of their performance metrics. In this blog post, we'll explore how to analyze FPL player value based on points per million and points per million per 90 minutes.



Understanding Player Value in FPL

Player value in FPL refers to the efficiency of a player's performance relative to their price. By calculating metrics like points per million (PPM) and points per million per 90 minutes (PPM/90), you can identify which players offer the best value for their price, helping you to make more informed decisions when building your squad.


Points Per Million (PPM)

Points per million (PPM) is a metric that shows how many points a player scores for every million pounds of their price. It’s calculated by dividing the total points a player has scored by their current price (in millions). A higher PPM indicates a better return on investment, making it a valuable tool for identifying budget-friendly players who consistently deliver high points.

For example, if a player costs £5.0 million and has scored 100 points, their PPM would be:



A PPM of 20 means the player delivers 20 points for every million pounds of their price, which is an excellent value.


Points Per Million Per 90 Minutes (PPM/90)

Points per million per 90 minutes (PPM/90) takes the analysis a step further by factoring in the time a player has spent on the pitch. This metric provides a normalis



ed measure of a player's efficiency, showing how many points they score per 90 minutes per million pounds of their price. It is especially useful for comparing players who have played different amounts of time due to injuries, rotations, or substitutions.


To calculate PPM/90, you first need the player’s total minutes played and then use the following formula:

For instance, if a player costs £6.0 million, has scored 90 points, and has played 1,800 minutes, their PPM/90 would be:





A PPM/90 of 0.83 means the player scores 0.83 points per 90 minutes for every million pounds of their price.


Practical Application

Using these metrics, FPL managers can make data-driven decisions to enhance their squad's overall value. For example:

  1. Identifying Bargains: Players with high PPM and PPM/90 scores are often underpriced relative to their performance, making them excellent budget options.

  2. Evaluating Premium Options: While expensive players may have lower PPM scores, their PPM/90 can highlight their efficiency and justify their higher price tags.

  3. Spotting Rotation Risks: Players with high PPM but low PPM/90 might be at risk of rotation or not getting enough minutes, signaling caution.

By focusing on these metrics, you can build a well-balanced team that maximizes points per million spent, giving you a competitive edge in your FPL leagues.


Conclusion

Analyzing player value through points per million and points per million per 90 minutes provides a more strategic approach to FPL. By identifying players who offer the best return on investment, you can make smarter transfers, optimize your budget, and ultimately climb the ranks in your FPL leagues.

Keep an eye on these metrics throughout the season to continuously refine your squad and stay ahead of the competition. Happy managing!

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