FPL GW10 Review: The Everton Double Beat Both Hits
Thierno Barry and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall scored 25 FPL points between them in GW10, against 12 for Evanilson and Marcus Tavernier. The Everton pair were our preferred new buys and won by 13 points. We also advised managers to hold healthy Bournemouth starters if switching meant paying a hit. In GW10, that advice cost points even after the deductions.
Should you make the same switch now? I’d keep a fit Bournemouth starter through the international break and assess the move again before GW11. Everton go from Coventry at home to Brentford away. Bournemouth go from Ipswich away to Nottingham Forest at home. That is a different decision from the one we faced on Friday.
How the GW10 picks scored
Our GW10 preview gave the Everton pair a 1.8 xP lead for the round. They were £0.8m cheaper at the time. The table uses the forecasts published before the deadline and official checked FPL scores. Captain scores are shown before doubling.
| Player | GW10 fixture | Pre-deadline GW10 xP | Actual points | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thierno Barry | Coventry (H) | 4.7 | 16 | 90 |
| Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall | Coventry (H) | 5.0 | 9 | 90 |
| Evanilson | Ipswich (A) | 3.8 | 9 | 84 |
| Marcus Tavernier | Ipswich (A) | 4.1 | 3 | 90 |
| Gabriel | Hull (H) | 6.0 | 8 | 90 |
| Erling Haaland | Nottingham Forest (A) | 5.9 | 2 | 90 |
| Kai Havertz | Hull (H) | 5.4 | 2 | 62 |
Barry scored twice and set up Dewsbury-Hall in Everton’s 3–1 win. Dewsbury-Hall added two bonus points to his goal. Evanilson scored in Bournemouth’s 2–1 win and took all three bonus points. Tavernier’s defensive contribution points kept him on three after a booking.
Which hits actually paid off?
Barry for Evanilson gained seven points, or three after a four-point hit. Evanilson still delivered nine. Barry’s second goal, assist and three bonus points took him well clear.
Dewsbury-Hall for Tavernier gained six points, or two after a hit. Making both swaps would have gained five points after an eight-point deduction. These are like-for-like examples with both players starting in the relevant XI and captaincy, bench and other moves held fixed.
Going into GW10, The Algorithm projected the pair to gain 7.1 xP across eight gameweeks, including that first round. That was less than the eight points charged for two hits. The opening round alone cleared the cost, so the hold call lost this week. Seven rounds of that original comparison remain.
The Algorithm’s most common named swap in members’ pre-deadline GW10 plans was João Pedro to Barry, in 7% of plans. Barry scored 16 to João Pedro’s zero. That is a 16-point gap in individual scores. If João Pedro was in your XI and a substitute came on, the points that substitute earned reduce the gain from the swap. A paid transfer reduces it further.
Gabriel won the captain call, but Havertz fell short
We gave Gabriel the armband if he was expected to start, by 0.1 xP over Haaland. Gabriel played 90 minutes in Arsenal’s 1–0 win and scored eight, including two defensive contribution points. Haaland played 90 minutes and blanked in City’s 3–1 defeat. Switching the armband from Haaland to Gabriel in an XI containing both gained six points. The captain scores were 16 and four, but the other player’s undoubled score stays in your XI.
Havertz was our third option at 5.4 xP. He came off after 62 minutes with two points and no goal or assist. The two Arsenal players in our shortlist had very different outcomes despite sharing the same fixture.
Should you buy Barry or Dewsbury-Hall for GW11?
If you need a forward, Barry is worth comparing at £5.7m. He is still £0.8m cheaper than Evanilson at £6.5m on 10 November. Check what your player actually sells for and whether the saving funds a second move you would make anyway. If the money stays in the bank and you already own a fit Evanilson, there is less reason to move before Bournemouth host Forest.
The midfield prices are closer. Dewsbury-Hall is £6.6m and Tavernier is £6.7m. For an existing Tavernier owner, the appeal depends on the next eight gameweeks and how you would use the transfer elsewhere. GW10 already paid out. Before copying the pair, check who would start for you, what the move costs and whether both replacements still make sense beyond Brentford.
GW10 review questions
How many points did Barry score in GW10? He scored 16 from two goals, an assist, 90 minutes and three bonus points.
When is the FPL GW11 deadline? Saturday 21 November at 11:00 UK time, 12:00 in Tirana. Manchester City host Fulham in the first match at 12:30 UK time.
Use the free team planner to compare one Everton move with keeping your existing starter. Check the eight-gameweek predicted points once the GW11 board refreshes and reassess after the international fixtures.
The Algorithm builds your squad, transfers and captaincy every gameweek.
See plans